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04-BS-16 · May 2014

Question 3 of 12

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Notes on this paper

National Examination, 04-BS-16 Discrete Mathematics, May 2014. Closed book, no aids. The exam instructs "answer 10 of 12 questions"; every question is answered below as a complete study resource.

Reference texts: Rosen, Discrete Mathematics and Its Applications, 7th ed. (logic, induction, combinatorics, probability, relations, graph theory).

Question 3

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Given data
QuantityValue
Deck size52 cards, 13 ranks $\times$ 4 suits
Hand size5 cards (unordered)
Total 5-card hands$\binom{52}{5}=2{,}598{,}960$

Given. A standard 52-card deck (13 ranks, 4 suits per rank), dealt 5-card hands with no replacement, as tabulated above.

Find. $P(\text{four of a kind})$, $P(\text{flush})$, $P(\text{two pair})$, $P(\text{three of a kind})$, $P(\text{full house})$.

Approach. Every probability is (favourable hands)/$\binom{52}{5}$; count favourable hands with the multiplication rule, choosing ranks first (unordered, $\binom{13}{\cdot}$) then suits within each chosen rank ($\binom{4}{\cdot}$).

  1. a) Four of a kind. Choose the rank for the quad ($\binom{13}{1}$), take all 4 suits ($\binom{4}{4}=1$), then choose the 5th card from the remaining 48 cards: $$\binom{13}{1}\binom{4}{4}\binom{48}{1}=13\cdot1\cdot48=624 \qquad P=\frac{624}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 0.000240$$ $\boxed{P(\text{four of a kind})=\dfrac{624}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 2.40\times10^{-4}}$
  2. b) Flush (incl. straight flush). "All five of the same suit" is choose a suit ($\binom{4}{1}$) then any 5 of its 13 ranks ($\binom{13}{5}$) — this count already includes straight flushes since the question says "may or may not be in sequence": $$\binom{4}{1}\binom{13}{5}=4\cdot1287=5{,}148 \qquad P=\frac{5{,}148}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 0.00198$$ $\boxed{P(\text{flush})=\dfrac{5{,}148}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 1.98\times10^{-3}}$
  3. c) Two pair. Choose the 2 paired ranks ($\binom{13}{2}$), 2 suits for each ($\binom{4}{2}$ twice), then the 5th "kicker" card from the 44 remaining ranks' cards: $$\binom{13}{2}\binom{4}{2}\binom{4}{2}\binom{44}{1}=78\cdot6\cdot6\cdot44=123{,}552 \qquad P=\frac{123{,}552}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 0.0475$$ $\boxed{P(\text{two pair})=\dfrac{123{,}552}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 4.75\times10^{-2}}$
  4. d) Three of a kind (not a full house). Choose the triple's rank ($\binom{13}{1}$) and 3 of its suits ($\binom{4}{3}$), then choose 2 *different* ranks for the other two cards ($\binom{12}{2}$) each in one of 4 suits: $$\binom{13}{1}\binom{4}{3}\binom{12}{2}\cdot4\cdot4=13\cdot4\cdot66\cdot16=54{,}912 \qquad P=\frac{54{,}912}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 0.0211$$ $\boxed{P(\text{three of a kind})=\dfrac{54{,}912}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 2.11\times10^{-2}}$
  5. e) Full house. Choose the triple's rank ($\binom{13}{1}$) and 3 suits ($\binom{4}{3}$), then the pair's rank from the remaining 12 ranks ($\binom{12}{1}$) and 2 of its suits ($\binom{4}{2}$): $$\binom{13}{1}\binom{4}{3}\binom{12}{1}\binom{4}{2}=13\cdot4\cdot12\cdot6=3{,}744 \qquad P=\frac{3{,}744}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 0.00144$$ $\boxed{P(\text{full house})=\dfrac{3{,}744}{2{,}598{,}960}\approx 1.44\times10^{-3}}$
Poker-hand probabilities (5-card hand)
HandFavourable countProbability
a. Four of a kind624$\approx 2.40\times10^{-4}$
b. Flush (incl. straight flush)5,148$\approx 1.98\times10^{-3}$
c. Two pair123,552$\approx 4.75\times10^{-2}$
d. Three of a kind54,912$\approx 2.11\times10^{-2}$
e. Full house3,744$\approx 1.44\times10^{-3}$