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04-BS-2 · December 2015

Question 7 of 8: Two-Sample Tests — Comparing Two Processes

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

National Examinations, December 2015 — 04-BS-2 Probability and Statistics (2 hours, closed book except one hand-written information sheet and an approved calculator). Statistical tables of the Normal, t, chi-square and F distributions are supplied with the exam. The rubric states "Any 5 questions constitute a complete paper"; every question is answered.

Reference texts: Walpole, Myers, Myers & Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 9th ed. (Pearson) — used throughout for normal/binomial/Poisson/hypergeometric probability, confidence intervals, hypothesis tests, and simple linear regression.

Check — source defect in Question 4. As literally printed, K/y cannot integrate to a finite value over (1, ∞), so the density as given is not valid. This solution reconstructs the intended density as f(y) = 1/y² for y > 1 — the unique minimal correction (recovering one dropped exponent) that makes the function integrate to 1 on the stated domain, and it is the standard "infinite mean" example from this course's own textbook (Walpole). This choice is disclosed here rather than presented as certain.

Question 7: Two-Sample Tests — Comparing Two Processes (20 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Given.

Given data
ProcessnMean (GPa)s (GPa)
A1080.10.9
B979.81.1

Find. (a) test H₀: σA=σB; (b) test H₀: μA=μB.

Approach. Compare variances with the F-test first (needed to decide whether to pool); if variances aren't significantly different, use the pooled two-sample t-test for the means.

  1. (a) F-test for equal variances. Assumption: both processes' shear-modulus measurements are independent, normally distributed random samples. Put the larger sample variance on top: $$F=\dfrac{s_B^2}{s_A^2}=\dfrac{1.1^2}{0.9^2}=\dfrac{1.21}{0.81}=\boxed{1.494},\qquad F_{0.025,\,8,\,9}=4.10.$$ Since $F=1.494<4.10$, we fail to reject H₀: the two standard deviations are not significantly different, so pooling the variances for part (b) is justified.
  2. (b) Pooled two-sample t-test for the means. $$s_p^2=\dfrac{(n_A-1)s_A^2+(n_B-1)s_B^2}{n_A+n_B-2}=\dfrac{9(0.81)+8(1.21)}{17}=\dfrac{16.97}{17}=0.9982,\qquad s_p=0.9991.$$ $$t=\dfrac{\bar X_A-\bar X_B}{s_p\sqrt{1/n_A+1/n_B}}=\dfrac{80.1-79.8}{0.9991\sqrt{1/10+1/9}}=\dfrac{0.3}{0.4591}=\boxed{0.653},\qquad t_{0.025,\,17}=2.110.$$ Since $|t|=0.653<2.110$, we fail to reject H₀: the mean shear modulus of Process A is not significantly different from that of Process B.
Final results — Question 7
PartResult
(a) F-testF=1.494 < 4.10, fail to reject H₀
(b) pooled t-testt=0.653 < 2.110, fail to reject H₀