04-BS-2 · May 2015
Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)
National Examinations, 04-BS-2 Probability and Statistics — May 2015. Closed book (approved calculator + one hand-written information sheet); statistical tables of the Normal, t, chi-square and F distributions supplied. The paper states that only 5 of the 8 questions constitute a complete paper — every question is solved in full as a study resource.
Reference texts: Walpole, Myers, Myers & Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists (9th ed.) — sampling distributions, binomial/Poisson/hypergeometric models, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, correlation and simple linear regression.
Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.
Given. 3×3 contingency table of observed member counts by Age Bracket (row) × Insurance Policy (column):
| Age bracket | Policy A | Policy B | Policy C | Row total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25–40 | 38 | 57 | 70 | 165 |
| 41–56 | 68 | 70 | 62 | 200 |
| Over 56 | 74 | 33 | 68 | 175 |
| Column total | 180 | 160 | 200 | 540 |
Find. Whether Insurance Policy preference is independent of Age Bracket, at $\alpha=0.05$.
Approach. Chi-square test of independence: compute expected counts under independence $E_{ij}=(\text{row}_i)(\text{col}_j)/n$, form $\chi^2=\sum(O-E)^2/E$, and compare to the critical value with $(r-1)(c-1)$ degrees of freedom.
| Policy A | Policy B | Policy C | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25–40 | 55.00 | 48.89 | 61.11 |
| 41–56 | 66.67 | 59.26 | 74.07 |
| Over 56 | 58.33 | 51.85 | 64.81 |
| Quantity | Value |
|---|---|
| $\chi^2$ statistic | 23.05 |
| df | 4 |
| Critical value $\chi^2_{0.05,4}$ | 9.488 |
| Conclusion | Reject $H_0$ — policy and age bracket are dependent |