NivaarExam PrepOfficial exam papers ↗

04-BS-2 · December 2017

Question 5 of 8

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

National Examinations, December 2017 — 04-BS-2 Probability and Statistics, 2 hours, closed book except one hand-written information sheet and an approved calculator. Eight questions of equal value; the exam instructs "any 5 questions constitute a complete paper," but all 8 are answered here as a full study resource.

Reference texts: Walpole, Myers, Myers & Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists (9th ed.) — used throughout for distribution theory, estimation, and hypothesis-testing procedures.

Question 5 (20 marks: (a) 7, (b) 7, (c) 6)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Given.

Given data
QuantityValue
n16
ΣX136.00
ΣX²1,159.75

Find. (a) 99% CI for μ and for σ. (b) Test $H_0: \mu=8.4$ at α=0.05. (c) Test $H_0: \sigma=0.4$ at α=0.05.

Approach. Compute $\bar{x}$ and $s^2$ from the sums, then use the t-distribution (df=15) for the mean CI and mean test, and the chi-square distribution (df=15) for the variance CI and variance test, since X is Normal and n is small.

  1. Preliminary: sample mean and variance. $$\bar{x} = \frac{136.00}{16} = 8.5, \qquad s^2 = \frac{\sum X^2 - n\bar{x}^2}{n-1} = \frac{1159.75-16(8.5)^2}{15} = \frac{3.75}{15} = 0.25, \qquad s = \boxed{0.5}.$$
  2. (a)(i) 99% CI for the mean, df = 15. $t_{0.005,15}=2.947$: $$\bar{x} \pm t_{0.005,15}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = 8.5 \pm 2.947\left(\frac{0.5}{4}\right) = 8.5\pm 0.368, \qquad \boxed{(8.132,\ 8.868)}.$$
  3. (a)(ii) 99% CI for the standard deviation. With $\chi^2_{0.995,15}=4.601$ and $\chi^2_{0.005,15}=32.801$: $$\sqrt{\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{0.005,15}}} \le \sigma \le \sqrt{\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{0.995,15}}}, \qquad \boxed{(0.338,\ 0.903)}.$$
  4. (b) Test H₀: μ = 8.4 vs H₁: μ ≠ 8.4. $$t = \frac{\bar{x}-8.4}{s/\sqrt{n}} = \frac{8.5-8.4}{0.5/4} = 0.80.$$ Since $t_{0.025,15}=2.131$ and $|0.80| < 2.131$, we fail to reject H₀ — the mean is not significantly different from 8.4.
  5. (c) Test H₀: σ = 0.4 vs H₁: σ ≠ 0.4. $$\chi^2 = \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma_0^2} = \frac{15(0.25)}{0.16} = 23.44.$$ Since $\chi^2_{0.975,15}=6.262$ and $\chi^2_{0.025,15}=27.488$, and $6.262<23.44<27.488$, we fail to reject H₀ — the standard deviation is not significantly different from 0.4.
Question 5 — final results
PartQuantityValue
Prelimx̄, s8.5, 0.5
(a)(i)99% CI for μ(8.132, 8.868)
(a)(ii)99% CI for σ(0.338, 0.903)
(b)t stat vs t-crit0.80 < 2.131 → fail to reject
(c)χ² stat vs bounds23.44 in (6.262, 27.488) → fail to reject