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11-CS-3 Engineering Management · May 2019

Question 3 of 5: Comparison of 200 MW Generating Technologies

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Notes on this paper

National Exams — May 2019 — 11-CS-3 Sustainability, Engineering and the Environment. Closed book; approved Casio or Sharp calculator permitted. Any four questions constitute a complete paper; all questions are of equal value (25 marks each).

Question 3: Comparison of 200 MW Generating Technologies (25 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

TechnologyInitial costFuel costGHG emissionsHealth risks to local populationsLand requirement
Wind turbinesM–H: turbines are moderately priced per MW of nameplate, but a ~35% capacity factor means roughly 570 MW of turbines (plus transmission and backup) to deliver an average 200 MWL: the wind is free; only O&M costsL: no combustion; only embodied emissions of steel, concrete and blade manufacture upstreamL: no air emissions; minor nuisance (noise, shadow flicker) and bird/bat impactsH: turbines need wide spacing (tens of km²), although farming or grazing continues between towers
Nuclear (one plant)H: reactor, containment and safety systems make it the most capital-intensive option, with long construction times and cost overrunsL: uranium is energy-dense, so fuel is a small share of cost even after mining, enrichment and fabricationL: no combustion; small upstream emissions from mining, enrichment and constructionL–M: negligible routine exposure, but a low-probability, high-consequence accident risk, spent-fuel storage, and uranium-mine tailings upstreamL: compact site; upstream mining and waste storage add modest land
Solar PV farmH: at a Canadian capacity factor of ~15%, over 1,300 MW of panels, inverters and storage are needed to average 200 MWL: sunlight is free; only cleaning and O&ML: no combustion; embodied emissions of silicon refining and panel manufacture upstreamL: no emissions in operation; upstream mining and panel-manufacturing chemicals are the main concernH: the largest land take of the five (tens of km² of panels, largely excluding other uses)
Wood pelletsM: boiler, steam turbine and particulate controls, much like a solid-fuel steam plantM–H: harvesting, drying, pelletizing and hauling a bulky, lower-energy fuel is costlyM: combustion CO₂ per MWh is high and is only offset over decades of forest regrowth; harvesting, pelletizing and transport add fossil emissionsM: fine particulates, CO and NOₓ from combustion, plus heavy truck trafficH: sustained supply needs a very large area of managed forest (hundreds of km²)
Coal-fired (one plant)M: large boiler, coal handling and SO₂/PM/NOₓ controls, but a mature, standard technologyM: coal is cheap per GJ, but large tonnages must be mined and hauled by railH: the highest CO₂ per MWh (about 1 t/MWh), plus methane from minesH: PM₂.₅, SO₂, NOₓ and mercury emissions, ash-pond failures, and coal dust from mines and railM: plant plus coal storage, ash ponds and upstream strip mines

Explanation

Each rating in the table is justified in its own cell and covers both the plant and its upstream fuel or material chain. Wind: no fuel and almost no emissions, but capital-intensive per delivered MW and land-extensive. Nuclear: very high capital, cheap fuel, compact and near-zero carbon; the social concern is accident and waste risk rather than routine exposure. Solar PV: no fuel and clean in operation, but at Canadian latitudes the low capacity factor makes it the most capital- and land-intensive per average MW. Wood pellets: a moderate-capital steam plant whose fuel chain is costly and land-hungry, which is only conditionally low-carbon and emits particulates locally. Coal: moderate capital and fuel cost, but the highest GHG and (through particulates, SOₓ, NOₓ and mercury) the highest health risk to local populations. Considering the environmental, social and economic triad and upstream processes: wind, solar and nuclear are the genuinely low-carbon options (trading land or capital/risk), biomass is only conditionally low-carbon and adds local pollution, and coal is worst on emissions and health.