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23-CS-3 Sustainability, Engineering and the Environment · May 2018

Question 5 of 5: Risk, Toxic Exposure and Dust-Explosion Safety

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National Exams — May 2018 — 11-CS-3 Sustainability, Engineering and the Environment. Open book; non-communicating calculator permitted. Any four questions constitute a complete paper; all questions are of equal value (25 marks each).

Question 5: Risk, Toxic Exposure and Dust-Explosion Safety (25 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

(a) Coal versus Hydro Risk

Risk = likelihood × consequence. Living downwind of a coal plant: continuous emissions make the likelihood of exposure high and the consequence per exposure low–medium (chronic health effects). Living just downriver of a hydro dam: the likelihood of a dam failure is low but the consequence (catastrophic flooding) would be high. Coal is a high-likelihood/low-consequence chronic risk causing more routine harm; hydro is a low-likelihood/high-consequence catastrophic risk.

(b) Trichloroethylene Cancer Risk

$$C = 170 \times \frac{131.4}{24.45} \approx 913\ \text{µg/m}^3 \qquad \text{Risk} = 913 \times 4.1\times10^{-6} \approx \boxed{3.7\times10^{-3}}$$

(ppb converted to µg/m³ at 25 °C and 1 atm, molar volume 24.45 L/mol.) A lifetime risk of about 3.7 × 10⁻³ (roughly 4 extra cancers per 1,000 people) exceeds the 10⁻⁶ acceptable level by more than three orders of magnitude, and is well above both Health Canada's “essentially negligible” range of 10⁻⁵ to 10⁻⁶ and the 10⁻⁴ upper bound sometimes tolerated for existing exposures, so this is not safe. The unit risk factor is already defined for a 70 kg adult breathing 20 m³/day, which is exactly this man. The dose route gives the same answer: intake = 0.913 mg/m³ × 20/70 = 0.261 mg/kg-d; inhalation slope factor = 4.1×10⁻⁶ × 70/20 × 1000 = 0.0144 (mg/kg-d)⁻¹; risk = 0.261 × 0.0144 ≈ 3.7×10⁻³.

(c) Arsenic Cancer Risk and Hazard Quotient

Concentration 6 ppb = 6×10⁻³ mg/L. Intake dose when exposed = (6×10⁻³ × 2)/50 = 2.4×10⁻⁴ mg/(kg·day). Cancer risk (lifetime-averaged over 70 yr):

$$\text{LADD} = 2.4\times10^{-4}\times\frac{350\times30}{365\times70} = 2.4\times10^{-4}\times0.411 \approx 9.86\times10^{-5}$$
$$\text{Risk} = (9.86\times10^{-5})(1.5) \approx \boxed{1.5\times10^{-4}}$$

Hazard quotient (non-carcinogenic; dose averaged over the exposure period, ≈ 2.4×10⁻⁴ × 350/365 = 2.30×10⁻⁴):

$$HQ = \frac{2.30\times10^{-4}}{3.0\times10^{-4}} \approx \boxed{0.77}$$

The cancer risk of ~1.5×10⁻⁴ is unsafe (it exceeds the 10⁻⁶ benchmark by more than a hundredfold), while the hazard quotient of ~0.77 is below 1, so the non-carcinogenic exposure is acceptable (if the exposure-day dose is used without the 350/365 averaging, HQ = 2.4/3.0 = 0.80, still below 1). As is typical for arsenic, the carcinogenic endpoint governs, so the exposure is unsafe overall and warrants reduction. In the Canadian frame the verdict is the same: 1.5×10⁻⁴ is well above Health Canada's “essentially negligible” range of 10⁻⁵ to 10⁻⁶, even though 6 µg/L is below the arsenic maximum acceptable concentration of 10 µg/L. That MAC is set at the lowest level treatment can reliably achieve, not at a negligible cancer risk, so Health Canada asks that arsenic be kept as low as reasonably achievable; a water that meets the MAC is not thereby shown to be safe on the cancer endpoint.

(d) Preventing the Wood-Dust Explosion

At the source: do not introduce fine, dry dust outside the fuel's design spec into the conveyor, and control dust accumulation—keeping the fuel within the particle-size/moisture range assessed as non-explosive removes the explosive mixture at its origin. Along the path: install explosion-protection engineering controls—dust collection/ventilation to keep airborne dust below the explosive range, explosion venting/suppression, and removal of ignition sources on the conveyor (as Section 63 requires). At the worker: keep workers clear of the conveyor discharge during operation, train them on the dust-explosion hazard, and use PPE (which offers little protection against a fireball). Best action: the source control—not introducing out-of-spec fine dust and controlling accumulation—is best, because it removes the fuel for the explosion entirely; the incident occurred precisely because fine dry dust outside the assessed fuel spec created an explosive mixture the system was never designed to handle.

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