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22-Mec-B4 Integrated Manufacturing Systems · May 2016

Question 2 of 6: Combining Product, Gage and Inspector Variability

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

Paper format. National Exams, May 2016 — 07-Mec-B4 Integrated Manufacturing Systems. Three hours, open book, any non-communicating calculator permitted. Six questions are printed; any five constitute a complete paper and only the first five appearing in the answer book are marked, each of equal value (20 marks). All six are solved here, because the complete set is the study resource. Questions 1(b)–(d) and the whole of Question 4 are essay questions, in which the examiners award marks for clarity and organisation as well as for content.

Reference texts. E. S. Buffa and R. K. Sarin, Modern Production / Operations Management, 8th ed. (inventory systems, economic order quantity, information feedback, break-even and investment analysis); A. J. Duncan, Quality Control and Industrial Statistics, 5th ed. (error of measurement, gage and inspector variability, precision and accuracy); D. C. Montgomery, Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 8th ed. (measurement systems analysis, process capability); C. E. Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 3rd ed. (exponential and normal life models, maintainability); R. B. Chase and F. R. Jacobs, Operations and Supply Chain Management, 16th ed. (components of demand, adaptive forecasting); S. Nahmias and T. L. Olsen, Production and Operations Analysis, 7th ed. (forecasting methods, inventory control under uncertainty); M. P. Groover, Automation, Production Systems, and Computer-Integrated Manufacturing, 5th ed. (integrated manufacturing systems, production planning).

Note on this sitting. Question 4 is reissued word for word from the May 2013 paper (its Question 1), and Question 6 is reissued word for word from the May 2014 paper (its Question 3). The full working is transcribed in place below rather than cross-referenced, so this file stands alone.

Question 2: Combining Product, Gage and Inspector Variability (20 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Given. Each source of variation is quoted as a six-standard-deviation spread in units of ten-thousandths of an inch, on the same scale as the total tolerance of 7.0 units.

Given data — variability by source, as 6σ in units of 0.0001 in
SourceVariability
Product4.6
Air gage1.1
Mechanical gage4.4
Inspector A4.3
Inspector B3.7
Inspector C5.1
Inspector D9.3
Total tolerance on the dimension7.0 (0.0007 in)

Find. The observed (as-measured) variability of the ring diameter for the best and for the worst combination of product, gage and inspector, and in each case the long-run percentage of rings that will be rejected against the printed tolerance.

-6.4-3.50.03.56.4deviation from nominal (units of 0.0001 in)relative frequencybest: 6s = 6.00worst: 6s = 11.27LTLUTL
Distribution of the reported diameter for the two combinations, against the lower and upper tolerance limits at ±3.5 units. The shaded tails are the rejects produced by the worst combination.

Approach. Product variation, gage variation and inspector variation are independent sources acting on the same reported reading, so their variances add; the best and worst combinations are obtained by pairing the fixed product spread with the smallest and the largest of the gage and inspector spreads, and the reject fraction then follows from the normal distribution with the tolerance at ±3.5 units about the nominal.

  1. State the rule that combines the sources. The reported reading is the true diameter plus a gage error plus an inspector error, and the three are independent, so $$\sigma_{obs}^{2} = \sigma_{prod}^{2} + \sigma_{gage}^{2} + \sigma_{insp}^{2}$$ Because every figure in the table is a six-standard-deviation spread, the same relation holds directly between the tabulated numbers, and the working can stay in units of ten-thousandths of an inch throughout.
  2. Part (a) — identify and combine the best combination. The product is not a matter of choice, so the best attainable case pairs it with the air gage (1.1, against 4.4 for the mechanical gage) and with inspector B (3.7, the smallest of the four): $$6\sigma_{obs} = \sqrt{4.6^{2}+1.1^{2}+3.7^{2}} = \sqrt{21.16+1.21+13.69} = \sqrt{36.06}$$ $$\boxed{6\sigma_{obs} = 6.00\ \text{units} = 0.00060\ \text{in}}$$
  3. Convert to a reject percentage. One standard deviation is $6.00/6 = 1.0008$ units, and a ring is rejected when its reported diameter falls more than half the tolerance from the nominal, that is beyond $\pm 3.5$ units: $$z = \frac{3.5}{1.0008} = 3.497 \qquad p = 2\left[1-\Phi(3.497)\right] = 0.00047$$ $$\boxed{p_{best} = 0.047\ \text{per cent, about 1 ring in 2,100}}$$
  4. Part (b) — combine the worst combination. The worst case pairs the same product with the mechanical gage (4.4) and with inspector D (9.3), whose spread alone is larger than the whole tolerance: $$6\sigma_{obs} = \sqrt{4.6^{2}+4.4^{2}+9.3^{2}} = \sqrt{21.16+19.36+86.49} = \sqrt{127.01}$$ $$\boxed{6\sigma_{obs} = 11.27\ \text{units} = 0.00113\ \text{in}}$$
  5. Convert the worst case to a reject percentage. Now $\sigma_{obs} = 11.27/6 = 1.8783$ units, so $$z = \frac{3.5}{1.8783} = 1.863 \qquad p = 2\left[1-\Phi(1.863)\right] = 0.0624$$ $$\boxed{p_{worst} = 6.24\ \text{per cent, about 1 ring in 16}}$$ The two answers differ by a factor of more than a hundred although the product being measured is identical.
  6. Interpret the result as a gage capability statement. Comparing each spread with the tolerance gives $6\sigma_{obs}/T = 85.8$ per cent for the best combination and 161 per cent for the worst, or equivalently $C_{p} = T/6\sigma_{obs} = 1.17$ and 0.62. The product on its own would give $C_{p} = 7.0/4.6 = 1.52$ and a reject rate of 0.0005 per cent, so essentially every rejection in the worst case is manufactured by the measuring system rather than by the process: the measurement spread alone is $\sqrt{4.4^{2}+9.3^{2}} = 10.29$ units against 3.86 units for the best combination.

Check: assumptions behind the reject percentages. The percentages assume (i) the process is centred on the nominal dimension, so that the tolerance band is symmetric about the mean at ±3.5 units; (ii) each source is normally distributed and independent of the others; and (iii) the accept/reject decision is taken on the reported reading, so that measurement error both rejects good rings and accepts bad ones. If the process were off centre, the reject rate would rise sharply in the worst case and only slightly in the best.

Final results — Question 2
QuantityBest combinationWorst combination
Gage usedAir gage (1.1)Mechanical gage (4.4)
InspectorB (3.7)D (9.3)
Observed variability, 6σ6.00 units = 0.00060 in11.27 units = 0.00113 in
Standard deviation, σ1.0008 units1.8783 units
Tolerance ratio 6σ/T85.8 per cent161.0 per cent
Capability index Cp1.170.62
Long-run rejects0.047 per cent6.24 per cent