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04-BS-2 · May 2016

Question 6 of 8

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

National Examinations, May 2016 — 04-BS-2, Probability and Statistics (2 hours, closed book except one hand-written information sheet and an approved calculator; any 5 of 8 questions constitute a complete paper — all 8 are answered here as a full study resource).

Reference texts: Walpole, Myers, Myers & Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 9th ed. (Pearson) — sampling distributions, binomial/Poisson/hypergeometric models, confidence intervals, hypothesis tests, correlation and simple linear regression.

Question 6 (20 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Given data — good items / rejects by machine
MachineABCD
Good items25232527
Rejects16101311

Find. Whether the rejection rate differs significantly across the four machines, using a $2\times4$ chi-square test of homogeneity at $\alpha=0.05$.

Approach. Build the contingency table of good/reject counts, compute row×column/grand-total expected counts under $H_0$ (equal rejection rate), form the χ² statistic, and compare against the critical value with df$=(2-1)(4-1)=3$.

  1. Row, column, and grand totals. Totals per machine: A=41, B=33, C=38, D=38 (grand total=150). Row totals: good=100, rejects=50.
  2. Expected counts under H0 (proportional rejection rate). $E_{\text{good},j}=\dfrac{100\times n_j}{150}$, $E_{\text{rej},j}=\dfrac{50\times n_j}{150}$: A: (27.33, 13.67); B: (22.00, 11.00); C: (25.33, 12.67); D: (25.33, 12.67).
  3. Chi-square statistic. $\chi^2=\sum\dfrac{(O-E)^2}{E}=1.076$ (summing all 8 cells).
  4. Compare to the critical value. $\chi^2_{0.05,3}=7.815$. Since $1.076<7.815$, $\boxed{\text{fail to reject }H_0}$ — the rejection rate does not differ significantly among the four machines.
Question 6 — final results
QuantityValue
χ² statistic1.076
Critical value χ²0.05,37.815
Conclusionfail to reject H₀ (rates not significantly different)