23-Chem-B10 Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) · May 2016
Question 3 of 5: Environmental Fate, Risk Assessment and Ecological Impact
Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)
Notes on this paper
National Exam 04-Chem-B10, Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) — May 2016. 3 hours, Closed-Book
Exam (approved calculator and one double-sided aid sheet permitted). Question 1 is mandatory (28
marks); any three (3) of the remaining four (Questions 2–5) constitute a complete 100-mark paper,
and only the first four questions as they appear in the answer book are marked. All five questions are
solved below for completeness.
Reference texts: Baumann & Tillman, The Hitch Hiker's Guide to LCA;
Graedel & Allenby, Industrial Ecology and Sustainable Engineering; Kemp, Pinch
Analysis and Process Integration, 2nd ed.; Mackay, Multimedia Environmental Models: The
Fugacity Approach, 2nd ed.; Davis & Cornwell, Introduction to Environmental
Engineering.
Drinking-water (DW) plant removal of remaining chemical
95%
Distance to DW intake
50 km downriver
River flow rate
600,000 m³/day
River velocity
0.5 m/s
Suspended-sediment loading
20 mg solids / kg water
Biota loading
150 g biota / 1000 m³ water
Soil/sediment–water partition coeff. Kd
10,000 kg/kg
Bio-concentration factor (BCF)
50,000 kg/kg
Find. (a) Equilibrium chemical concentration in water, sediment, and biota at the
discharge point. (b) Whether the drinking-water outflow meets a 10 ppt (by mass) standard. (c) The biota
concentration relative to a 15 ppm LC50. (d) A discussion of the model's simplifications.
Approach. Treat the discharge point as a well-mixed, steady-state three-compartment
equilibrium partitioning problem: assume the dissolved concentration Cw sets the sediment and
biota concentrations via the given partition coefficients (Csed=KdCw,
Cbiota=BCF·Cw), then close a total-mass balance across the river's daily
mass flows of water, suspended sediment, and biota to solve for Cw. The river velocity is not
needed for this equilibrium snapshot (it only sets travel time, relevant to part (d)); it is given as
context, not a required input.
Daily mass flow discharged to the river. After 80% WWTP removal:
$$\dot m_{river}=2000\times(1-0.80)=\boxed{400\ \text{kg/day}}$$
Daily mass "flow" of each compartment carried by the river. Water mass flow
(ρ=1000 kg/m³): $\dot M_w=600{,}000\ \text{m}^3/\text{day}\times1000\ \text{kg/m}^3=6.00\times10^8\ \text{kg/day}$.
Suspended-sediment mass flow, from the 20 mg solids/kg-water loading (already on a per-kg-water basis):
$$\dot M_{sed}=20\times10^{-6}\ \text{kg/kg}\times6.00\times10^8\ \text{kg/day}=\boxed{12{,}000\ \text{kg/day}}$$
Biota mass flow, converting 150 g/1000 m³ to a per-kg-water basis (divide by the water density 1000
kg/m³ to move from "per m³" to "per kg," then by 1000 to move g→kg):
$$\dot M_{biota}=\frac{150\ \text{g}}{1000\ \text{m}^3}\times\frac{1}{1000\ \text{kg/m}^3}\times\frac{1\ \text{kg}}{1000\ \text{g}}\times6.00\times10^8\ \text{kg/day}=\boxed{90\ \text{kg/day}}$$
(a) Equilibrium partitioning — solve for Cw. The total discharged
mass equals the sum held in each compartment (all expressed per kg of that compartment, tied together
by Kd and BCF):
$$400\times10^6\ \text{mg/day}=C_w\big(\dot M_w+K_d\dot M_{sed}+BCF\cdot\dot M_{biota}\big)
=C_w\big(6.00\times10^8+10{,}000(12{,}000)+50{,}000(90)\big)$$
$$C_w=\frac{400\times10^6}{7.245\times10^8}=\boxed{0.552\ \text{mg/kg water}\ (\approx0.55\ \text{mg/L})}$$
$$C_{sed}=10{,}000\times0.552=\boxed{5521\ \text{mg/kg sediment}}\qquad
C_{biota}=50{,}000\times0.552=\boxed{27{,}605\ \text{mg/kg biota}}$$
Unlike a screening case with modest partition coefficients, here the much larger Kd and BCF
(104 and 5×104, roughly two orders of magnitude above a typical
low-sorption chemical) pull a genuinely significant fraction of the total mass out of solution: water
carries 82.8%, sediment 16.6%, and biota only 0.62% of the discharged mass — sediment
accumulation is not negligible here, in contrast to the near-total dissolved-phase dominance seen for
weakly-sorbing chemicals with Kd/BCF two orders of magnitude smaller.
(b) Drinking-water outflow vs. the 10 ppt standard. The DW plant removes 95% of the
400 kg/day arriving (assuming negligible loss/degradation over the 50 km reach, addressed further in
part (d)), leaving 20 kg/day in the finished water, diluted in the same river-water mass flow:
$$C_{DW,out}=\frac{20\times10^6\ \text{mg/day}}{6.00\times10^8\ \text{kg/day}}=0.0333\ \text{mg/kg}
=\boxed{33{,}333\ \text{ppt}}$$
This is roughly 3300 times the 10 ppt regulated maximum. Performance
modifications are clearly needed — meeting 10 ppt requires an overall (WWTP×DW
combined) removal efficiency of 99.9997%, versus the 99.0% currently achieved
(1−0.20×0.05). A roughly three-order-of-magnitude improvement in combined treatment
performance (upgrading one or both facilities, e.g. advanced oxidation, activated-carbon polishing, or
membrane treatment at the DW plant) is required; neither facility can be assumed adequate as currently
operated.
(c) Ecological impact vs. the 15 ppm LC50. The equilibrium biota concentration
computed in step 3, 27,605 mg/kg (ppm), is compared directly against the stated LC50:
$$\frac{C_{biota}}{LC_{50}}=\frac{27{,}605}{15}=\boxed{1840}$$
Biota at or near the discharge point are predicted to bio-concentrate to roughly 1840 times the
LC50 — an extreme acute-toxicity red flag indicating near-certain lethality for exposed
organisms at or close to the equilibrium partitioning assumed here, not merely an elevated-risk
situation. Even allowing generously for the fact that this is a "worst case" (equilibrium, zero
degradation, no dilution beyond the initial mixing) estimate and that true concentrations decrease with
distance downstream, a margin of three orders of magnitude above the LC50 leaves essentially no room for
model uncertainty to change the qualitative conclusion: immediate investigation (caged-organism
bioassays, sediment/tissue sampling) and emergency-response-level treatment upgrades are warranted, not
a routine compliance timeline.
Quantity
Value
Mass discharged to river (post-WWTP)
400 kg/day
Cwater at discharge point
0.552 mg/kg (≈0.55 mg/L)
Csediment at discharge point
5521 mg/kg
Cbiota at discharge point
27,605 mg/kg (ppm)
Drinking-water outflow concentration
33,333 ppt (≈3300× the 10 ppt limit)
Overall removal needed vs. currently achieved
99.9997% needed vs. 99.0% achieved
Cbiota / LC50
1840 (extreme acute-toxicity exceedance near outfall)
(d) Gross simplifications in this analysis
This screening calculation makes several simplifications that a comprehensive assessment would need
to relax. It assumes instantaneous, complete equilibrium partitioning between water, sediment and biota
with no kinetic limitation, when real sorption/uptake and depuration are rate-limited processes that may
not reach equilibrium within the 50 km/≈28-hour travel time implied by the given 0.5 m/s river
velocity (50 km ÷ 0.5 m/s ≈ 27.8 h one-way to the intake). It ignores chemical degradation
entirely (biodegradation, hydrolysis, photolysis), any of which would reduce Cw before it
reaches the drinking-water intake — a first-order decay term k combined with the travel time would
need to be incorporated, and requires a fate half-life the problem does not supply. It treats the river
as a single well-mixed compartment with no additional dilution from tributaries or groundwater exchange,
no sediment resuspension/deposition dynamics (net burial vs. resuspension of contaminated sediment can
be a long-term secondary source), and a single lumped biota compartment ignoring species-specific
bioaccumulation, trophic-level biomagnification (predator fish typically carry higher body burdens than
prey), and lipid-content variability in BCF. It uses a single acute LC50 endpoint without addressing
chronic/sublethal toxicity (reproductive, developmental) at concentrations well below the LC50, and does
not address human exposure pathways beyond direct drinking-water ingestion (fish consumption,
recreational contact). A more comprehensive approach would couple a river fate-and-transport model
(advection-dispersion with a first-order decay/sorption-desorption kinetic term, calibrated against
field water/sediment/tissue sampling) to a full ecological and human-health risk assessment using
species- and endpoint-specific toxicity data (e.g. NOEC/chronic values, not just acute LC50) and
probabilistic (rather than single-point) exposure estimates.