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23-CS-3 Sustainability, Engineering and the Environment · December 2017

Question 3 of 5: Comparison of 200 MW Generating Technologies

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Notes on this paper

National Exams — December 2017 — 11-CS-3 Sustainability, Engineering and the Environment. Open book; non-communicating calculator permitted. Any four questions constitute a complete paper; all questions are of equal value (25 marks each).

Question 3: Comparison of 200 MW Generating Technologies (25 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

TechnologyLandFuel requirementGHG emissionsLocal health riskInitial cost
WindH (spacing)L (none)LLM
NuclearL (+ mining)L–M (uranium)LM (accident/waste)H
Solar PV farmHL (none)LLM
Wood-pellet plantH (forestry)H (biomass)M (combustion; partial regrowth offset)M (particulates)M
Natural gasLH (gas)ML–ML

Explanation of Each Cell

Basis: each option delivers 200 MW of rated capacity. Wind and solar have capacity factors of only about 35% and 15–25% in Canada, against about 90% for nuclear and 50–85% for thermal plants, so they deliver less energy per rated MW. That lowers their true cost and land advantage per MWh.

Land requirement. Wind, H: turbines must be spaced several rotor diameters apart, so 200 MW spreads over roughly 20–60 km². Only about 2–5% of that area is physically occupied, however, and farming can continue between the towers. Nuclear, L: the plant itself is compact (well under 1 km²); uranium mining and the waste-management sites upstream add a little. Solar PV, H: about 2–4 ha per MW, so roughly 4–8 km² of land fully covered by panels. Wood pellets, H: the plant site is small, but a continuous fuel supply needs hundreds of km² of managed forest. Natural gas, L: a compact plant, plus well pads and pipeline corridors upstream.

Fuel requirement. Wind and solar, L: no fuel, because the wind and sun are free and inexhaustible. Nuclear, L–M: only a few tonnes of enriched fuel per year, although it comes from an energy-intensive mining–milling–enrichment chain. Wood pellets, H: several hundred thousand tonnes of pellets per year to harvest, dry, pelletize and truck in. Natural gas, H: a continuous pipeline supply of a finite fossil fuel, with price volatility.

GHG emissions (life cycle). Wind, nuclear and solar, L: about 10–50 g CO₂e/kWh, all from manufacturing, construction and fuel processing. Wood pellets, M: the stack CO₂ is high, but it is partly offset by forest regrowth, and harvest, drying and transport emissions add to it. Natural gas, M (towards H): about 400–500 g CO₂e/kWh from combustion, plus upstream methane leakage (GWP 25).

Health risks to local populations. Wind, L: noise, shadow flicker and ice throw are nuisances rather than hazards. Nuclear, M: routine emissions are negligible, but a severe accident is low in probability and high in consequence, and mining and waste must be managed. Solar, L: there are no emissions in operation; the upstream silicon and metal processing hazards fall on workers elsewhere. Wood pellets, M: fine particulates, NOₓ and CO come from combustion, and truck traffic adds dust. Natural gas, L–M: NOₓ is the main pollutant; the upstream wells and pipelines carry leak, explosion and flaring risks.

Initial cost. Wind, M: roughly 1.5–2 million dollars per MW. Nuclear, H: the highest capital cost (well over 6 million dollars per MW), with long licensing and construction periods; a single 200 MW unit is also below the usual economic size. Solar, M: roughly 1–1.5 million dollars per MW, and falling. Wood pellets, M: a boiler–turbine plant plus fuel handling. Natural gas, L: about 1 million dollars per MW or less, the cheapest to build, although fuel is its main lifetime cost.

Overall Comparison

Wind: wide turbine spacing (high land, ground usable); no fuel; negligible GHG and low local health risk; medium capital. Nuclear: compact plant but upstream uranium mining/enrichment; near-zero GHG; a low-probability, high-consequence accident and waste-management risk; very high capital. Solar PV farm: large panel area; no fuel; negligible GHG; low health risk; medium capital. Wood-pellet plant: needs large forested land and continuous biomass fuel; combustion emits CO₂ and particulates (medium GHG, nominally offset by regrowth) plus local air pollution (medium health risk); medium capital. Natural gas: compact; needs gas fuel; emits CO₂ (medium GHG) with low–medium local health risk; low capital. Considering upstream processes, the true low-carbon options are wind, solar, and nuclear; biomass is only conditionally low-carbon (depends on sustainable regrowth) and adds local air pollution; gas is the lowest-capital but a fossil source.