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23-CS-3 Sustainability, Engineering and the Environment · December 2017

Question 5 of 5: Risk, Gasoline Vapour and Toxic Exposure

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National Exams — December 2017 — 11-CS-3 Sustainability, Engineering and the Environment. Open book; non-communicating calculator permitted. Any four questions constitute a complete paper; all questions are of equal value (25 marks each).

Question 5: Risk, Gasoline Vapour and Toxic Exposure (25 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

(a) Coal versus Nuclear Risk

Risk = likelihood × consequence. A coal plant emits continuously, so the likelihood of exposure is high and the consequence per exposure low–medium (chronic health effects)—a high-likelihood, low-consequence chronic risk. A nuclear plant releases little normally, so the likelihood of a harmful release is low but the consequence of a major accident would be high—a low-likelihood, high-consequence catastrophic risk. Coal causes more routine harm; nuclear's risk is dominated by rare, severe events.

(b) Reducing Hazard and Exposure to Gasoline Vapour

Reduce the hazard (act on the source, per the hierarchy of controls): (1) substitute or reformulate to reduce the most volatile/carcinogenic components (e.g. lower-benzene fuel); (2) install vapour-recovery systems on pumps and nozzles so vapour is captured rather than released; and (3) reduce vapour generation through sealed systems and lower-vapour-pressure handling. Reduce the exposure (protect the worker): (1) engineering controls—canopy/local exhaust ventilation and vapour-recovery nozzles that keep vapour out of the breathing zone; (2) administrative controls—rotate staff and limit time at the pump to cut exposure duration, and enforce no-smoking and safe procedures; and (3) PPE—gloves and, where warranted, respiratory protection. Hazard reduction is preferred because it lowers the risk at source rather than relying on the worker; since gasoline contains non-threshold carcinogens (benzene), exposure should be minimized as far as reasonably achievable (ALARA), not merely kept under a limit.

(c) Trichloroethylene Cancer Risk

Convert 170 ppb to µg/m³ (µg/m³ = ppb × MW ÷ 24.45 at 25 °C):

$$C = 170 \times \frac{131.4}{24.45} \approx 170 \times 5.37 \approx 913\ \text{µg/m}^3$$
$$\text{Risk} = C \times \text{IUR} = 913 \times 4.1\times10^{-6} \approx \boxed{3.7\times10^{-3}}$$

A risk of about 4 × 10⁻³ (nearly 4,000 in a million) vastly exceeds the 10⁻⁶ acceptable level, so this is not a safe exposure. (The inhalation unit risk is defined for a 70 kg adult breathing 20 m³/day, so it is applied directly to the air concentration. If we scale for this woman's lower body weight, her dose per kilogram is 70/50 = 1.4 times higher, giving a risk of about 5.2×10⁻³. The conclusion is the same either way: the exposure is not safe.) In the Canadian frame, Health Canada regards an incremental lifetime cancer risk of 10⁻⁵ to 10⁻⁶ as essentially negligible; 3.7×10⁻³ exceeds even the 10⁻⁴ upper bound sometimes tolerated by a factor of about 37, so exposure must be reduced.

(d) Arsenic Hazard Quotient

9 ppb = 9×10⁻³ mg/L; dose = (9×10⁻³ × 2)/70 = 2.57×10⁻⁴ mg/(kg·day):

$$HQ = \frac{2.57\times10^{-4}}{3.0\times10^{-4}} \approx \boxed{0.86}$$

Since $HQ < 1$ (though close to it), the exposure is below the reference dose and is considered safe for non-carcinogenic effects—but with little margin, so it warrants monitoring. In the Canadian frame, 9 µg/L sits just below Health Canada's maximum acceptable concentration of 10 µg/L for arsenic in drinking water. Arsenic is also a known human carcinogen, and the HQ addresses only non-cancer effects, so the water should still be kept as low in arsenic as reasonably achievable.

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