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24-MMP-A4 Mine Valuation and Mineral Resource Estimation · December 2014

Question 26 of 27: After-Tax Cash Flows and NPV

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

EGBC National Exam — Mining and Mineral Processing Engineering, 09-Mmp-A4 Mine Valuation and Mineral Resource Estimation, 2014-Dec. 3 hours duration; one handwritten 8.5×11 in reference sheet permitted (not an open-book exam); only approved Sharp or Casio calculators allowed. Question 1 is compulsory (40 marks, parts 1.1–1.7); candidates then select FOUR of the six optional Questions 2–7 (15 marks each) to complete the paper.

Reference texts: Isaaks & Srivastava, An Introduction to Applied Geostatistics (variogram modelling, kriging estimators, volume–variance relations); Hustrulid, Kuchta & Martin, Open Pit Mine Planning and Design (mine valuation, NPV and cut-off grade methodology, mineable reserves); Gentry & O'Neil, Mine Investment Analysis (Canadian mining taxation, smelter/refining contract terms, net smelter return); SME Mining Engineering Handbook, 3rd ed. (mineral exploration/evaluation stages, ore reserve classification); CIM Best Practice Guidelines and NI 43-101 (Canadian Securities Administrators).

Question 7.1: After-Tax Cash Flows and NPV (8 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Given.

YearRevenueOperating costTax
11.0M0.4M159.0K
21.0M0.4M161.5K
31.0M0.4M165.6K
41.0M0.4M168.4K

Purchase (capital) cost = 0.7M at Year 0; salvage value = 0.1M realized at completion of mining (end of Year 4); cost of capital i = 10%.

Find. After-tax cash flow (ATCF) for each of Years 1–4, and the project NPV.

01234−0.70M capital0.441M0.439M0.434M0.532M (incl. salvage)After-tax cash flows, 10% cost of capitalperiod (year)
Cash-flow diagram: 0.7M capital outflow at Year 0, after-tax cash inflows Years 1–4 (Year 4 includes the 0.1M salvage).

Approach. Compute ATCF = Revenue − Operating cost − Tax for each year (adding salvage in Year 4), then discount each year's ATCF at 10% and sum, netting off the Year-0 capital cost.

  1. Year 1–3 ATCF. $$ATCF_1=1.000-0.400-0.159=0.441\text{M};\quad ATCF_2=1.000-0.400-0.1615=0.4385\text{M};\quad ATCF_3=1.000-0.400-0.1656=0.4344\text{M}$$
  2. Year 4 ATCF (including salvage). $$ATCF_4=(1.000-0.400-0.1684)+0.100=0.4316+0.100=\boxed{0.5316\text{M}}$$
  3. Discount each year's ATCF at i=10%. $$PV_1=\frac{0.441}{1.10}=0.4009\text{M};\ PV_2=\frac{0.4385}{1.10^2}=0.3624\text{M};\ PV_3=\frac{0.4344}{1.10^3}=0.3264\text{M};\ PV_4=\frac{0.5316}{1.10^4}=0.3631\text{M}$$
  4. Net present value. Sum the discounted cash flows and subtract the Year-0 purchase cost: $$NPV=-0.700+(0.4009+0.3624+0.3264+0.3631)=-0.700+1.4528=\boxed{0.753\text{M CDN}}$$
YearATCFPV @ 10%
10.4410M0.4009M
20.4385M0.3624M
30.4344M0.3264M
4 (incl. salvage)0.5316M0.3631M
NPV0.753M CDN
Check
NPV is strongly positive (≈108% of the 0.7M purchase price) on the exam's own given cash flows — the acquisition is clearly justified at a 10% cost of capital under this data; a candidate should sanity-check that the given revenue/cost/tax figures are what the exam intends before committing to a strategic recommendation on such a large margin.