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24-MMP-A4 Mine Valuation and Mineral Resource Estimation · December 2018

Question 25 of 29: IRR vs. NPV Sketch Graph

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

EGBC National Exam — Mining and Mineral Processing Engineering, 09-MMP-A4 Mine Valuation and Mineral Resource Estimation, 2018-Dec. 3 hours duration; one handwritten 8.5×11 in reference sheet permitted (not an open-book exam); only approved Sharp or Casio calculators allowed. Question 1 is compulsory (40 marks, parts 1.1–1.8); candidates then select THREE of the five optional Questions 2–6 (20 marks each) to complete the paper.

Reference texts: Isaaks & Srivastava, An Introduction to Applied Geostatistics (variogram modelling, kriging, anisotropy); Hustrulid, Kuchta & Martin, Open Pit Mine Planning and Design (mine valuation, NPV/IRR and cut-off grade methodology); Gentry & O'Neil, Mine Investment Analysis (smelter/refining contract terms, net smelter return, taxation and risk); Guilbert & Park, The Geology of Ore Deposits, and Evans, Ore Geology and Industrial Minerals (VMS/SEDEX and porphyry deposit models); SME Mining Engineering Handbook, 3rd ed. (mineral exploration/evaluation stages, ore reserve classification); CIM Best Practice Guidelines and NI 43-101 (Canadian Securities Administrators).

Question 6.4: IRR vs. NPV Sketch Graph (1 mark)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

IRR trial rate, i (%)NPV (USD M)05101520253035404550-30-20-100102030405029.749.1-23.9-30.1IRR(6A)=22.9%IRR(6B)=24.2%Alternative 6AAlternative 6B
NPV vs. trial discount rate for Alternatives 6A and 6B, plotted from Table 6's 5%-step factors. Both curves are convex (concave-up), crossing zero NPV near 23.0% (6A) and 24.2% (6B) — well short of the 29.9%/32.9% a straight line through the 5%/50% points would suggest.

Both NPV-vs-rate curves bend markedly CONCAVE UP (convex) rather than following the straight chord between the 5% and 50% trial points — NPV falls steeply at first as the discount rate rises from 5%, then flattens at higher rates because each additional percentage point of discounting has a proportionally smaller effect on already heavily-discounted cash flows. The true zero-crossing (the IRR) therefore sits well BELOW where the straight 5%/50% chord would cross zero, exactly as flagged in Question 6.2 — the curve, not the chord, is what a narrow-bracket interpolation (Question 6.3) approximates correctly.