Question 6 of 8: Chi-Square Test of Homogeneity — Four Assembly Lines
Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)
Notes on this paper
National Examinations December 2018 — 04-BS-2, Probability and Statistics, 2 hours, closed book except one hand-written information sheet and an approved calculator. Any 5 of 8 questions constitute a complete paper; all 8 are solved below.
Reference texts: Walpole, Myers, Myers & Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists (Pearson) — used throughout for distribution theory, estimation and hypothesis-testing formulas.
Question 6: Chi-Square Test of Homogeneity — Four Assembly Lines (20 marks)
Find. Whether the proportion substandard is the same across all 4 lines (α=0.05).
Approach. A 2×4 chi-square test of homogeneity: pool all 4 lines to get one overall (defective) proportion under H₀, compute expected counts per cell, and sum $(O-E)^2/E$ over all 8 cells (defective and non-defective × 4 lines), df=(2−1)(4−1)=3.
Pooled proportion under H₀. Total units $=12{,}000+11{,}400+12{,}500+11{,}900=47{,}800$; total substandard $=600+691+673+536=2{,}500$. $$\bar p=\dfrac{2500}{47800}=0.05230$$
Expected counts and chi-square statistic. Each line’s expected substandard count is $E_i=n_i\bar p$ and expected good count is $n_i(1-\bar p)$. Computing $(O-E)^2/E$ for all 8 cells:
Observed vs. expected substandard counts
Line
ni
O (defective)
E (defective)
(O−E)²/E, defective
(O−E)²/E, good
A
12,000
600
627.6
1.213
0.067
B
11,400
691
596.2
15.077
0.833
C
12,500
673
653.8
0.564
0.031
D
11,900
536
622.4
11.988
0.663
Sum and decision. Summing all 8 cell contributions: $$\chi^2=1.213+0.067+15.077+0.833+0.564+0.031+11.988+0.663$$ $$\boxed{\chi^2=30.42\ \ (\text{df}=3)}$$ Critical value $\chi^2_{0.05,3}=7.81$ (Appendix 3). Since $30.42\gg7.81$: $$\boxed{\text{Reject }H_0\text{ -- the substandard proportion is NOT the same across the four assembly lines}}$$ (Lines B and D deviate most from the pooled average, driving most of the statistic.)