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04-BS-2 · December 2018

Question 6 of 8: Chi-Square Test of Homogeneity — Four Assembly Lines

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

National Examinations December 2018 — 04-BS-2, Probability and Statistics, 2 hours, closed book except one hand-written information sheet and an approved calculator. Any 5 of 8 questions constitute a complete paper; all 8 are solved below.

Reference texts: Walpole, Myers, Myers & Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists (Pearson) — used throughout for distribution theory, estimation and hypothesis-testing formulas.

Question 6: Chi-Square Test of Homogeneity — Four Assembly Lines (20 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Find. Whether the proportion substandard is the same across all 4 lines (α=0.05).

Approach. A 2×4 chi-square test of homogeneity: pool all 4 lines to get one overall (defective) proportion under H₀, compute expected counts per cell, and sum $(O-E)^2/E$ over all 8 cells (defective and non-defective × 4 lines), df=(2−1)(4−1)=3.

  1. Pooled proportion under H₀. Total units $=12{,}000+11{,}400+12{,}500+11{,}900=47{,}800$; total substandard $=600+691+673+536=2{,}500$. $$\bar p=\dfrac{2500}{47800}=0.05230$$
  2. Expected counts and chi-square statistic. Each line’s expected substandard count is $E_i=n_i\bar p$ and expected good count is $n_i(1-\bar p)$. Computing $(O-E)^2/E$ for all 8 cells:
  3. Observed vs. expected substandard counts
    LineniO (defective)E (defective)(O−E)²/E, defective(O−E)²/E, good
    A12,000600627.61.2130.067
    B11,400691596.215.0770.833
    C12,500673653.80.5640.031
    D11,900536622.411.9880.663
  4. Sum and decision. Summing all 8 cell contributions: $$\chi^2=1.213+0.067+15.077+0.833+0.564+0.031+11.988+0.663$$ $$\boxed{\chi^2=30.42\ \ (\text{df}=3)}$$ Critical value $\chi^2_{0.05,3}=7.81$ (Appendix 3). Since $30.42\gg7.81$: $$\boxed{\text{Reject }H_0\text{ -- the substandard proportion is NOT the same across the four assembly lines}}$$ (Lines B and D deviate most from the pooled average, driving most of the statistic.)
Question 6 — final results
QuantityResult
Pooled proportion &bar;p0.0523
χ² statistic (df=3)30.42
Critical value χ²0.05,37.81
ConclusionReject H₀ — lines differ