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04-BS-2 · December 2018

Question 7 of 8: Two-Sample Tests — Switch Activation Time

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

National Examinations December 2018 — 04-BS-2, Probability and Statistics, 2 hours, closed book except one hand-written information sheet and an approved calculator. Any 5 of 8 questions constitute a complete paper; all 8 are solved below.

Reference texts: Walpole, Myers, Myers & Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists (Pearson) — used throughout for distribution theory, estimation and hypothesis-testing formulas.

Question 7: Two-Sample Tests — Switch Activation Time (20 marks)

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

Given. Two independent samples of switch activation times; Make A: nA=10, mean 19.5 s, sd 0.8 s (one substandard unit already discarded, so Make B has nB=9). Make B: nB=9, mean 20.2 s, sd 0.6 s.

Find. (a) Test H₀: σA²=σB² at α=0.05. (b) Test H₀: μA=μB at α=0.05.

Approach. (a) an F-test on the ratio of sample variances, assuming both populations are normally distributed and the two samples are independent. (b) if (a) supports equal variances, a pooled two-sample t-test with df=nA+nB−2.

  1. (a) F-test for equal variances. Assumptions: both activation-time populations are approximately Normal, and the Make-A and Make-B samples are independent (a reasonable assumption since HST tested the two makes separately). Placing the larger variance on top: $$F=\dfrac{s_A^2}{s_B^2}=\dfrac{0.8^2}{0.6^2}=\dfrac{0.64}{0.36}=1.778$$ with $\nu_1=n_A-1=9$, $\nu_2=n_B-1=8$. For a two-tailed test at $\alpha=0.05$, the critical value is $F_{0.025,9,8}=4.36$ (Appendix 5). Since $1.778\lt 4.36$: $$\boxed{\text{Fail to reject }H_0\text{ -- the variability of Make A and Make B is not significantly different}}$$
  2. (b) Pooled two-sample t-test. Part (a) supports equal population variances, so pool them: $$s_p^2=\dfrac{(n_A-1)s_A^2+(n_B-1)s_B^2}{n_A+n_B-2}=\dfrac{9(0.64)+8(0.36)}{17}=\dfrac{8.64}{17}=0.5082$$ Then $$t=\dfrac{m_A-m_B}{\sqrt{s_p^2\left(\frac{1}{n_A}+\frac{1}{n_B}\right)}}=\dfrac{19.5-20.2}{\sqrt{0.5082\left(\frac{1}{10}+\frac{1}{9}\right)}}=\dfrac{-0.7}{0.3276}=-2.137$$ with df$=n_A+n_B-2=17$; critical value $t_{0.025,17}=2.110$ (two-tailed, Appendix 2). Since $|t|=2.137\gt 2.110$: $$\boxed{\text{Reject }H_0\text{ -- the mean activation time of Make A is significantly different from Make B}}$$ (a narrow margin: the conclusion would flip to “fail to reject” at α=0.02 or smaller.)
Question 7 — final results
PartQuantityResult
(a)F (df 9,8) vs F0.025,9,8=4.361.778 → fail to reject
(b)pooled t (df=17) vs t0.025,17=2.110−2.137 → reject