23-Ind-A4 Production Management · December 2017
Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)
National Technical Examinations — December 2017 — 98-Ind-A4 Production Management. Three-hour, closed-book exam; Casio or Sharp approved calculators only. Format: eight questions, each worth 20 marks (sub-part weights 10/10 as tabulated on the front-page marking scheme); only the first five questions appearing in the answer book are marked, so candidates effectively choose 2 of 3 in Section A and 3 of 5 in Section B. All eight are solved below for completeness. The paper asks for point-form answers wherever possible; the solutions below use full working for clarity.
Reference texts: Nahmias & Olsen, Production and Operations Analysis (7th ed., Waveland/McGraw-Hill) — forecasting, inventory (EOQ/EPQ) and aggregate planning; Sipper & Bulfin, Production: Planning, Control, and Integration — production scheduling, JIT/kanban and shop-floor implementation gaps; Hillier & Lieberman, Introduction to Operations Research (11th ed.) — LP formulation and project scheduling (CPM/PERT); Pinedo, Scheduling: Theory, Algorithms, and Systems (5th ed.) — parallel-machine scheduling and days-off workforce scheduling; Hopp & Spearman, Factory Physics (3rd ed.) — variability, buffering, and production scheduling; Liker, The Toyota Way, and Shingo, A Revolution in Manufacturing: The SMED System — 5S, Five Whys, SMED and lean root-cause analysis.
Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.
Given. Multi-product line producing WX93 at $p=600$ units/hour ($=4{,}800$ units/production day); material value $c=\$0.02$/unit; setup time $=3$ h at a $\$50$/h worker wage; annualized holding-cost rate $=25\%$; weekly demand $=7{,}000$ units.
| Quantity | Value |
|---|---|
| Production rate, $p$ | $600$/h $\times\,8$ h/day $=4{,}800$ units/day |
| Demand rate, $d$ (5-day week) | $7{,}000/5=1{,}400$ units/day |
| Annual demand, $D$ | $7{,}000\times52=364{,}000$ units/yr |
| Setup cost, $S$ | $3\text{ h}\times\$50\text{/h}=\$150$/setup |
| Holding cost, $H$ | $0.25\times\$0.02=\$0.005$/unit-yr |
Find. (a) A production plan (batch size / cycle) trading off setup and inventory cost, and the resulting total annual setup + holding cost; (b) the considerations needed if demand triples to 20,000/week.
Approach. This is a finite-replenishment-rate (Economic Production Quantity) problem, not a simple instantaneous-delivery EOQ, because WX93 is produced at a finite rate $p$ that exceeds but does not vastly outstrip demand $d$: compute the EPQ batch size that minimizes total annual setup + holding cost, then derive the run length, cycle length, and number of setups/year that make up the production plan.
| Quantity | Value |
|---|---|
| EPQ batch size, $Q^*$ | $\approx175{,}600$ units |
| Production run length per batch, $t_p$ | $\approx36.6$ days ($\approx7.3$ weeks) |
| Cycle length, $t_c$ | $\approx125.4$ days ($\approx25.1$ weeks) |
| Setups per year | $\approx2.07$ |
| Total annual setup + holding cost | $\approx\$622$/yr |
(b) Considerations for the demand jump to 20,000/week. At the new demand, $d_2=20{,}000/5=4{,}000$ units/day, so utilization on WX93 alone rises to $d_2/p=4{,}000/4{,}800=83.3\%$ (up from 29.2%). Re-running the EPQ formula with $D_2=1{,}040{,}000$/yr gives $Q_2^*\approx611{,}900$ units, with a run length of $Q_2^*/p\approx127.5$ production days ($\approx25.5$ weeks) inside a cycle of $Q_2^*/d_2\approx153$ production days ($\approx30.6$ weeks) — i.e., the line would need to run WX93 almost continuously (about 83% of every cycle) just to keep up. Because this is a multi-product line that must also serve other products' setups and runs, this leaves very little calendar time for anything else, so the original plan cannot simply continue at a larger batch size. Key considerations: (i) check whether the demand spike is genuinely sustained or a temporary popularity surge before committing capacity, since the EPQ commits the line to a long, capacity-heavy run either way; (ii) if sustained, add capacity — a second shift/overtime on WX93, or a second (possibly dedicated) line, since 83% utilization leaves almost no slack for changeovers or the line's other products; (iii) apply SMED (Question 3) to cut the 3-hour setup time, which both frees real capacity and lowers $S$, pulling $Q^*$ and the run-length fraction back down; and (iv) coordinate with whichever product is driving WX93's new demand, since a demand this close to the line's rated capacity for a single component leaves no margin for normal demand variability.