22-Mec-B4 Integrated Manufacturing Systems · Undated paper
Question 7 of 7: Break-even Analysis and Present Value of a New Machine
Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)
Notes on this paper
Paper format. National Examination
16-Mec-B4, Integrated Manufacturing Systems (the archive copy is filed
undated; the printed page header reads May 2019). Three hours, OPEN BOOK,
any non-communicating calculator permitted. Seven questions are
printed; any five constitute a complete paper and only the first five
appearing in the answer book are marked, so each question is worth 20 of the
100 marks and carries about 36 minutes. Some questions require an essay answer,
where clarity and organisation are themselves marked. All seven are worked
below, because the set as a whole is the study resource.
Reference texts for this subject.
Chase & Jacobs, Operations and Supply Chain Management, 16th ed.
— inventory models, break-even and capacity analysis.
Nahmias & Olsen, Production and Operations Analysis, 7th ed.
— the EOQ family and its variants.
Montgomery, Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 8th ed.
— Shewhart charts, operating-characteristic curves and average run length.
Duncan, Quality Control and Industrial Statistics, 5th ed.
— the classical control-chart and inspection material these questions come from.
Groover, Automation, Production Systems, and Computer-Integrated
Manufacturing, 5th ed. — materials handling, and the data-acquisition
and conversion chapter behind Question 6.
Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability
Engineering, 3rd ed. — series and active-redundant configurations.
Buffa & Sarin, Modern Production / Operations Management, 8th ed.
— plant layout and materials-handling systems.
Question 7: Break-even Analysis and Present Value of a New Machine (20 marks)
Find. The break-even volume at each price, and the effect of
the price increase on it.
Break-even chart. Raising the price steepens the revenue line, so it meets the unchanged total-cost line sooner; the break-even volume falls from 2,500 to 1,667 units.
Approach. Set revenue equal to total cost, solve for the
volume, and recognise that the break-even point is the fixed cost divided by the
contribution margin — so a price change acts on it only through that
margin.
Set up the break-even condition.
Profit is zero when revenue equals total cost,
$$pQ = F + vQ \quad\Longrightarrow\quad Q_{BE} = \frac{F}{p - v},$$
the denominator $p-v$ being the contribution margin per unit — what each
unit sold contributes toward covering the fixed cost.
Evaluate at the original price.
The contribution margin is $20.00 - 10.00 = $ $10.00 per unit, so
$$Q_{BE,1} = \frac{25{,}000}{10} = \boxed{2{,}500\ \text{units.}}$$
Note that this lands exactly on the upper end of the 1,500–2,500 unit
range over which the stated cost structure is valid, so the answer is just
admissible — the plant must run flat out at the top of the relevant range
merely to break even, which is itself worth reporting to management.
Evaluate at the increased price.
Raising the price to $25.00 lifts the contribution margin to
$15.00 per unit, so
$$Q_{BE,2} = \frac{25{,}000}{15} = 1{,}666.7
= \boxed{1{,}667\ \text{units (rounding up to a whole unit).}}$$
State the effect of the change.
The break-even volume falls by
$$2{,}500 - 1{,}667 = \boxed{833\ \text{units, a reduction of one third.}}$$
The proportion is no accident: the break-even volume varies inversely with the
contribution margin, and the margin rose by half, so the volume fell to
two-thirds of its former value. The price rose by 25 % but the break-even
fell by 33 %, because the whole of the increase goes to contribution.
Rebuild the income statement as a check.
At 1,667 units and $25.00, revenue is 41,675 and total cost is
$25{,}000 + 10(1{,}667) = 41{,}670$, so profit is essentially zero as required;
at exactly 1,666.67 units it is zero to the cent. The corresponding statement
at the original price and 2,500 units gives revenue 50,000 against cost 50,000.
It is also worth telling management what the price rise is worth at full
volume: at 2,500 units the higher price yields
$25(2{,}500) - [25{,}000 + 10(2{,}500)] = $ $12,500 of profit where
the original price yielded nothing.
Check: the demand response is not given.
The arithmetic above holds the volume-independent cost structure and asks only
what happens to the break-even point. It says nothing about whether the market
will still absorb 1,667 units at $25.00; unless demand is perfectly
inelastic, some volume will be lost, and a complete recommendation would compare
the new break-even against a revised sales forecast rather than against the old
one. The examination question asks only for the effect on the break-even
point.
Part (b) — present value of the expenditures on the new machine
Given.
Quantity
Symbol
Value
First cost of the machine
$P$
$24,000 at time zero
Economic life
$n$
8 years
Salvage value at the end of year 8
$S$
$4,000
Annual operating cost
$A$
$3,000 per year, years 1 to 8
Going rate of interest
$i$
10% per year
Find. The present value of the net expenditures associated
with owning and operating the machine for its eight-year life.
Cash-flow diagram for the machine, drawn from the owner's point of view: downward arrows are expenditures, the single upward arrow at year 8 is the salvage receipt.
Approach. Discount each cash flow to time zero at
10 % — the first cost is already there, the operating costs form a
uniform series handled by the series present-worth factor, and the salvage is a
single future receipt handled by the single-payment present-worth factor and
subtracted because it is a cash inflow.
Write the present-value expression.
$$PV = P + A\,(P/A, i, n) - S\,(P/F, i, n),$$
the salvage entering with a minus sign because the question asks for the present
value of expenditures and a receipt reduces them.
Evaluate the two interest factors at 10 per cent for eight years.
$$(P/A, 10\%, 8) = \frac{1-(1.10)^{-8}}{0.10} = 5.3349,\qquad
(P/F, 10\%, 8) = (1.10)^{-8} = 0.4665.$$
Discount the operating series and the salvage.
$$A\,(P/A) = 3{,}000 \times 5.3349 = 16{,}004.78,\qquad
S\,(P/F) = 4{,}000 \times 0.4665 = 1{,}866.03.$$
Only about 47 cents of each salvage dollar survives the eight years of
discounting, which is why salvage rarely dominates a decision of this kind.
Add the three terms.
$$PV = 24{,}000 + 16{,}004.78 - 1{,}866.03
= \boxed{PV = \textrm{CAD } 38{,}138.75.}$$
Convert to an annual equivalent as a cross-check.
Spreading that present value uniformly over the eight years at 10 % gives
$$EAC = PV\,(A/P, 10\%, 8) = 38{,}138.75 \times 0.187444
= \boxed{\textrm{CAD } 7{,}148.88 \text{ per year.}}$$
Rebuilding the same figure from its parts — capital recovery
$24{,}000(0.187444) = 4{,}498.66$, plus operating 3,000.00, less sinking-fund
salvage credit $4{,}000(0.087444) = 349.78$ — returns 7,148.88 exactly,
using the identity $(A/P) - (A/F) = i$. The agreement confirms the present-value
arithmetic.
The annual equivalent is the more useful number in practice, because it is
the figure that must be compared against the annual cost of the alternative the
machine is displacing. Note also that ignoring the salvage entirely would
overstate the present value by $1,866 — under 5 % of the
total — so a decision that turns on the salvage estimate is a decision that
was close to begin with.