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24-Pet-B3 Petroleum Geology · December 2015

Question 13 of 22

Nivaar worked solution (AI-drafted; not reviewed by a licensed engineer)

Notes on this paper

National Exams, December 2015 — 98-Pet-B3, Oil and Gas Evaluation and Economics (3 hours, closed book, approved non-programmable calculator only). The exam's own cover page is titled "Oil and Gas Evaluation and Economics" and every question is property valuation / reserves & production economics / DCF-NPV screening content — no geology anywhere.

Reference texts: Thompson & Wright, Oil Property Evaluation; Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGEH), Vol. 1 (Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers, Calgary Chapter); National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (Canadian Securities Administrators); SPE/WPC/AAPG/SPEE Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS); Ahmed, Reservoir Engineering Handbook.

The exam's own instructions ask for only 7 of the 10 short-answer questions and note the Cash-Flow/Future-Value tables are graded by column; for "choose N of M" exams, every item below is answered in full as a study resource. Questions 1–10 correspond to the exam's printed Short-Answer items 1–10; Questions 11–20 correspond to the printed Multiple-Choice items 1–10; Question 21 is the Future Value table; Question 22 is the Cash Flow table.

Question 13

Question text not reproduced: the examination questions are © Engineers and Geoscientists BC. Open the official past paper (linked at the top of this page) to read the question, then follow the worked solution below.

  1. a. Russia
  2. b. Australia
  3. c. Japan ← correct
  4. d. Nigeria
  5. e. Brasil

Answer: (c) Japan. Japan has essentially no domestic oil or gas production of consequence and imports nearly all of its hydrocarbon energy (historically via LNG and crude tanker imports); it is a net importer, not an exporter. Russia (pipeline gas and crude), Australia (LNG), Nigeria (crude and LNG) and Brazil (pre-salt crude) are all significant net hydrocarbon exporters.

The contrast is instructive for evaluation work: Japan's import dependence is precisely why it became one of the world's largest LNG buyers and a major driver of Asian spot LNG pricing (relevant to the gas-price-divergence question elsewhere in this paper), while the four exporting countries each rely on hydrocarbon export revenue as a material share of national income and therefore evaluate new projects partly through a fiscal/royalty lens that an import-dependent country like Japan does not need to apply to its own subsurface (it has essentially none to tax).